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India and the United Kingdom

One-time imperial power and the one-time jewel in that old crown.  It is good to see amity between the United Kingdom and India. They have a new trading accord. 


This may be a matter of considerable significance for the ongoing transformation of world trade. Not only are these two powerhouse economies, but this deal may be part of a pattern.

Negotiations had been on a back burner for years,  But, when the President of the US started talking about how we need only two out of every 30 imported dolls -- or whatever -- the rest of the world had to think about work-arounds.  "Who can we sell to when the US stops buying from us?  Who will we buy from while we are holding up our end of a trade war with them?"

Accordingly, the Brit/Indian deal went to the front burner in recent months. 

This one may have some special resonance for those fascinated by the history of the US, because we know that in 1861 Lincoln told the Brits they could no longer import cotton from the states of the US that were in rebellion.  The British, heavily dependent on the textile industry at the time, turned to India for their cotton.  They even got to work on a canal at Suez, because that voyage all around Africa is a bee-yatch. 

The canal is still there, conveniently.  And this time the US may be cutting itself off in a more comprehensive way. Go to your work-arounds, world. 

 https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-uk-conclude-talks-over-free-trade-pact-pm-modi-says-2025-05-06/

Indeed, the sequence of events is this: (a) UK-India talks languished; (b) US announced insane trade war against rest of world, (c) UK and India negotiators announce an agreement, and almost immediately thereafter, (d) President Trump claims that the insane trade war has produced an agreement between the US and the UK. 

The claim involved in item (d) is a stretch of such words as "agreement". From first indications, it is a promise to continue to discuss certain matters with certain ideas in mind, little more. But it is also the kind of thing Trump would have thought it necessary to produce immediately after (c). 

At any rate, the UK/India development, seen from the US, should remind us that there is a cost to making trade policy in 90 day increments, constantly changing according to nothing more than monarchical whims. Whatever the latest whims are, the uncertainty that such a non-system creates is enough to induce other nations around the world to make and stick to such work-arounds.

And the US shall be the lesser for it all.  

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