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Showing posts with the label econoblogosphere

The ghost of predictions past

John Cochrane, the beaming fellow in this photo, took on Paul Krugman here: http://johnhcochrane.blogspot.com/2014/12/deflation-links.html Okay, I'm a little late to the fair, but I'm traveling this week, not doing any blogging at all, so you're reading something written when that Cochrane blog entry was still fresh. Cochrane's point is that NY Times columnist (and Nobel Prize winner) Paul Krugman repeatedly, in 2009 and 2010, warned of a deflationary disaster if the Fed didn't really put the pedal to the medal on money creation. Well, the Fed didn't. Not by Krugman's standards. And the deflationary disaster didn't happen. In case you didn't follow the above link, I'll paste the gist of Cochrane's take-down here: -------------------------------- " But deflation is a huge risk — and getting out of a deflationary trap is very, very hard. We truly are flirting with disaster." " So we're really heading into ...