Some random reading again. Probability in the Philosophy of Religion. 2012. Much of the text is available on Google books . One big question in the P of R that involves probability in some sense is the evidence for miraculous events. Suppose a theist puts it forward as one of his reasons for belief in God that "only this belief can explain the parting of the Red Sea." One classic response, formulated for example by David Hume, is that the historical evidence for the event can never be greater than the improbability of the event. So it is always more rational to believe that the alleged miracle didn't happen, and the chain of testimony that has brought us news thereof is at fault, than to believe that it did happen, and qualify our belief in laws of nature in the process. This seems, then, squarely an argument about probability, and some of the contributions to this collection address it. One of the contributions that does is written by Benjamin C. Jantzen, of...
